alpha101.com


ocbc 20090227 review
28 February 2009, Saturday, 12:30 pm
Filed under: ocbc, triangle

ref: noble wilmar ocbc 20090213 eod

ocbc 20090213 eod
stk-cj-ocbc-20090213-m
That descending triangle. Something arousing me, again. Wahaha…

=====
ocbc 20090227 448dc
stk-cj-ocbc-20090227-m3
i did not short ocbc when it broke 495 20090217.
Even i did, i would have covered 469 20090223 which is descending triangle tp1. 440tp2 just bids away now.

Breakout/breakdown via h&s, triangle/wedge, flag/pennant, over time, has proven to give better reward-risk, in comparion to reversal play.

TA is not tough,
psychology mindset is the tough element, & the KSF (key successful factor)
i’ll work more & more on this aspect.



sgx 20090227 bot451
27 February 2009, Friday, 2:42 pm
Filed under: sgx | Tags: , ,

sgx 20090227 bot451
risk remains high



nol kepCorp sgx 20090226 eod
26 February 2009, Thursday, 8:07 pm
Filed under: h&s (head & shoulder)/ inverse h&s, kepCorp, nol, sgx, trend line, triangle, volume | Tags: , ,

Past week, we looked to long “true blue singapore stock, preferably with cd status”.
With the price behaviour developed, it looks to me, the resis may not be easy to break.
Thus, instead, in coming session, look to short:

nol 20090226 eod
stk-cj-nol-20090226-m
was excited when nol had higher lows past session, & broke 122 today, but the vol is no much fancy.
resis line, 127 is where i look.

kepCorp 20090226 eod
stk-cj-kepcorp-20090226-m
Thou still at key 430, but that weak “lower high lower low” is not encouraging.

sgx 20090226 eod
stk-cj-sgx-20090226-m
Teck, this if for you, watch green line



biosensor 20090226 ascending triangle breakout
26 February 2009, Thursday, 1:45 pm
Filed under: biosensor, triangle | Tags: , ,

biosensor 20090226
ascending triangle breakout
measured tp430
sl370
# herianto bro’s pick

Morning close 405
cj chang (26/02/09 11:12:59 AM): bios, worst sl shall be 370
cj chang (26/02/09 11:14:06 AM): i only in 10k 405, as ALREADY BROKE OUT
cj chang (26/02/09 11:14:35 AM): try small, the meat part is gone already, now left 肉碎

biosensor 20090226
stk-cj-bios-20090225-ascending-tria



NO=Noble+Olam 20090225 eod
26 February 2009, Thursday, 12:35 am
Filed under: h&s (head & shoulder)/ inverse h&s, noble, olam | Tags: , ,

NO=Noble+Olam
Both are like twin bros, sup (green line) holds?
As indi are in low zone, i’ll take vol as vital consideration.

noble 20090225 eod
stk-cj-noble-20090225-m
lvl: 955, 885, 835g(20081127)-800g(20081126)

olam 20090225 eod
stk-cj-olam-20090225-m
lvl: 115, 110g(20081209)-106g(20081205)



sembCorp venture 20090225
25 February 2009, Wednesday, 8:15 pm
Filed under: epure, f&n, kepCorp, sembCorp, straitsAsia, uob, venture | Tags: , ,

a fast note:
done:
straitsAsia sold815 825  ;-)
uob sold10.26 (as dip below open price 10.30)
kepCorp sl431 long432 intra
fnn sl231  ;-(
epure sl275  ;-(

balance:
sembCorp long206
venture short483

sembCorp 20090225 eod
stk-cj-sembcorp-20090225
venture 20090225 eod
stk-cj-venture-20090225
resis: 490 (tiny one), 495(where i’ll add shorts)



sg rainbow 彩虹 20090225
25 February 2009, Wednesday, 7:15 pm
Filed under: scenery

sg-rainbow-200902251842-1
陣雨過后,就是彩虹



dow dowN to 1997 low. Wa…
24 February 2009, Tuesday, 8:12 pm
Filed under: dow, f&n, kepCorp, ma (moving average) / exponential ma, s&p, sembCorp, straitsAsia, uob | Tags: , ,

kinda busy, but i told myself, i must mark down this event,
thou we may even have lower low,
as at now, dowFut still looks like E&A unit:

Dow_Futures* 7151.00 35.00 0.49% 7203.00 7104.00 06:57:25

=====
Dow 20090223

Dow and S&P 500 at ‘97 lows
Big losses send the two major gauges to levels not seen in nearly 12 years.

Index Last Change % High Low Time
Dow 7114.78 -250.89 -3.41% 7441.02 7105.94 16:03:11
NASDAQ 1387.72 -53.51 -3.71% 1452.58 1386.68 16:00:16
S&P500 743.33 -26.72 -3.47% 777.85 742.37 16:02:58

stk-cj-dow-20090223

=====
What the hell are we in? Dump n pump?
We’ve seen too many, too often of roller coasters. Oh, this is free fall.
There is surely no certainty in catching bottom.
Can you see any bottom in dow? Those sup, well, are far far ago.
After all, low are ONLY low, after we have SEEN it.

True blue singapore stock, preferably with CD” are still the one i went today, & in coming sessions.
After selling kepCorp 429 intra 415 423, still have: UOB 10.12, F&N 326, StraitsAsia 785avg.

KepCorp 20090224 eod
stk-cj-kepcorp-20090224
Still interest me, & this shall be loved by MA lovers.
level 430, 440 50ema, 449, 492g(20090109)-474g(20090112)

SembCorp 20090224 eod
stk-cj-sembcorp-200902241
Kana whacked till v cham.
i’m ready to go in with sl197
i look at tp215

Time to leave desk  ;-)



sti dow ocbc 20090220 eod
22 February 2009, Sunday, 5:43 pm
Filed under: divergence, dow, ocbc, sti, trend line, triangle, volume | Tags: , ,

Thou closing noble & wilmar shorts with profits 20090218, the week ended with a sad note, as my change of sentiment to long ”true blue singapore stk” was a wrong one.

A peep into ocbc chart, confirmed above.
ocbc 20090220
stk-cj-ocbc-20090220
Sentiment chage, made me stay away from short ocbc when it break 495 20090217. ocbc closed 468 20080220.

ref: noble wilmar ocbc 20090213 eod

ocbc 20090213 eod
stk-cj-ocbc-20090213-m
That descending triangle. Something arousing me, again. Wahaha…

=====
STI 20090220 eod
stk-cj-sti-200902201
s1 broke, s2 broke, s3 coming, will we indeed see 1470?
+vd macd hist divergence, thus, since i missed the short side, i wouldnt short in coming sessions, instead, i’ll be staying out, paying close attention on sti development around s3 level.
What stock may give better reward-risk?
i still opt for “true blue singapore stock”, i.e. sgx, st engg, singtel, sph; particularly those with CD status. i’ll stay out of cn stock for the moment, as my views on sse being topping, remains.

re: sti 20090210 eod

jus a wild thoght:
IF we do NOT care abt indi, ie, base on price only, the measured tp is, wa wa wa, 1470, if s1 & s2 fail.
Considering indi in lower spectrum, s2 shall hold

=====
dow 20090220 eod
stk-cj-dow-20090220
Kinda hopeless, even Obama couldnt lift USA econ
Ony 2 of past 9 sessions end -ve, 1 of those 2 only +3points.
That high vol 20090220 singnals capitulation? Or signal of new selling?
+ve macd hist divergence appearing too.

=====



20090218 Feel so song ah.. 爽啊!
19 February 2009, Thursday, 2:27 am
Filed under: capitaMall, epure, noble, singTel, stEngg, sti, straitsAsia, wilmar | Tags: , ,

No more spiderman (失敗的man)! Wahaha..
Covered both shorts, noble noball 104 & wilmar weakmar 285.
Feel so song ah.. 爽啊! Wahaha..

Index Last Change % High Low Time
STI 1651.06 13.14 0.8% 1651.06 1626.82 17:10:06
Hangseng 13016.00 70.60 0.55% 13031.28 12712.33 16:10:32
Nikkei225 7534.26 -111.25 -1.46% 7565.79 7479.18 15:00:02
SSE 2209.86 -109.58 -4.72% 2295.74 2206.06 15:00:40

With sti bounced off s2 in “sti 2009021o eod“,
i prefer reward-risk in “true blue” sg stk:
capMall [selling of 20090210 due, seems well absorbed 20090217]
stEngg [tp231]
singtel [resis255]
sembcorp [resis214]
others:
straitsAsia [tp840,870]
epure [resis320 sl275]
Jus list immediate lvl, as wont hold long for long, we are not out of woods yet.

ps: seems server prob, cannot upload any media file up here